Beachside Office unit to share

Unit 4  – 90 Salisbury Rd.

I have secured this unit for the next 12 months, with the option to stay on indefinitely, and I am looking for someone to share the space with. The office on offer is enclosed with a door for privacy. It may suit 2 people – not exactly sure the size of the office at this stage. Will measure it up soon.

I prefer to work within the open indoor area by the ranch slider to the small grass patch outside.

The unit includes shower, bathroom and kitchen. Cost includes power and Internet, and 24hr access. It’s a stone throw from the beach at the end of Roberts Road.  There is also a Pergola with BBQ – lunch communal area. – $500 + gst per month.

I could set you up with a table and chair if required; in the interim until you source your own. I may employ a staff member in a few months’ time.

I personally am an outgoing character that enjoys a surf and a yarn. For work I spend a fair bit of my time on the phone, which I will do in and out of the office, hence being near the exit.

Look fwd to hearing from you.

Jake Theron
0211719227
jake@jdt.co.nz

Working Out The Retirement Industry

In the long term, New Zealand is facing an increase in population numbers and proportions at the older ages, specifically for those 65+ years. Statistics New Zealand National Population Projections reflect a 90% probability that people aged 65+ years will make up between 21-26% of the approximated 6million strong population in the year 2043… or roughly 1.32 million people, 240,000 – 280,000 of whom will be aged 85 years and up.

In addition to this, nationwide research conducted independently by Metlifecare in November 2016, indicates that more than 68% of Kiwis over 45 years old would consider moving to a retirement village at some stage in their life.

So following what Metlifecare has reported, and through hashing out some novice math, we can reasonably infer that when today’s 45-year-olds have their 70th birthday in 2043 (and if they haven’t changed their mind), and provided that a similar approval rating will hold true for those close to them in age, we can expect to see demand for retirement villages from approximately 68% of the aged population of 1.37million – or roughly 931,600 people.*

Now obviously my coffee-table calculations are neither precise nor sensitive to the multitude of environmental factors that could affect such demand, and in no way do I claim to be qualified or experienced in the mapping or projections of socio-economic population trends.

A more professional opinion than mine could be found in the New Zealand Retirement Village Database (NZRVD) Whitepaper that is published annually by Jones Lang Lasalle (JLL).

In their 2015 report (at the time of writing this I could not find a newer edition), JLL had based their figures on a population aged 75+ years in 2043 totalling 778,990 and a ‘best case scenario’ market penetration rate of 16%, equalling a much-more-conservative but still-the-size-of-a-small-city 124,638 residents.

picjll

Even with the massive drop in perceived demand from 68% to 16%**, JLL has forecast that the construction industry will need to provide an average of somewhere between 11 to 15 new villages per annum – or 2270 new units -between 2018 to 2043 to keep up with the increase in projected demand.

And that’s actually quite a lot.

This ageing baby-boomer phenomenon is not unique to New Zealand by any measure and is currently being anticipated and discussed by economists, statisticians and sociologists throughout the developed world.

However, reasons given for the upswing in popularity of Retirement Villages in comparison to previous cultural norms appear to be a combination of three factors. Firstly, an increased geographic scattering of modern families which has separated the elderly from their adult children, who would otherwise house them; secondly, a sustained increase in the amount of females in the workforce who are not available throughout the day to look after grandparents; and finally an overall increase in health and longevity of developed national populations.

Regardless: there is a huge and ongoing demand for construction professionals within the Retirement Village industry – and it’s likely to stay that way for at least another 27 years.

So if you’re a building design or construction professional, and interested in anything you’ve read above – tell me about it.
Opportunities are everywhere… (but especially here).

*This was an outrageous sum, please don’t take me too seriously.
**still joking.

Twenty-Sixteen / Twenty-Seventeen

When reviewing the past 12 months, it’s easy to see why the experts have been hailing it as a great success in most sectors. The economy has been stable, unemployment is low, interest rates are low. We have seen an emergence of start-up businesses in many sectors. Foreign investment is pouring in. That’s all good. sure.

However, NZ is an expensive place. Our housing woes have been well documented. We haven’t enough stock, especially Auckland with Wellington now also under pressure, and we are not addressing the problem fast enough. Prices are teetering dangerously high. Something has surely got to give. I feel someone will be losing out soon. Will it be the ones that are in the market? Will it be those currently locked out of the market? It will be interesting to see How the government responds.

About the Government, The Prime Minister resigned a couple weeks back, so It’s Bill English to the Helm. Having met him a few years back I would describe him as Vanilla. Yes, vanilla in a bad tie. Especially when compared to the outgoing John Key:) 2017 will be an interesting year.

Design and build
The number of major infrastructure projects set-up over the past few years seem to all be coming to a head. We are seeing massive Land Development, Civil and Building Projects right across the country. Occupational Health and safety became far more stringent, adding risk to every business owner. Certainly, a step in the right direction, but OHS is creating many issues, but equally opportunities, dependent on how you view it.

MASSIVE Tremors
Kaikoura got Rocked! Seriously reminding us how life can swing in a new direction, so quickly. We were very lucky this happened at midnight and not midday. The clean-up is underway.

Wellington has been shaken into submission. The Government has one option, and that is to invest massively in ensuring its property portfolios are safe. Commercial business and property owners have no choice but to follow suit. OHS dictates!

We have had some spectacular demolitions, more to come, and a host of refurb work commissioned overnight. Busy times.

The North Island
We have seen new developers, contractors and consultants move into the regions. When was the last time that these many tower cranes were seen on NZ soil? We are also on the Aussie radar in a big way. I have heard of many OZ businesses looking to capitalise on NZ prosperity. The Chinese have arrived too. From what I am lead to believe this is just the start of some very exciting investments from our Asian neighbours in the housing, industrial and commercial building markets.

The Capital
It seems no matter where you look every business describes massive gains year on year. Wellington has some sexy projects for the first time in a long time. All four corners of the city limits are changing shape with alterations to the skyline; An international conference centre; movie museum; hotels; buildings and apartment blocks. Add the Transmission Gully to the few motorway upgrades and extension; the transport sector is humming. Wellington construction has not been this buoyant since the eighties.

The Big Smoke
The Auckland market has gone crazy. They are building massive buildings all over the place; by NZ standards. The salaries demanded are equally nuts. It’s a boom. Let’s hope it is sustainable, but I feel that it is moving too quickly. There is a saying “make hay while the sun shines” many businesses are doing just that. 2017 is looking super sunny at this stage.

Ministry of Business and Innovation report:

  • Auckland dominates the national demand for building and construction, accounting for over a third of all building and construction, by value from 2015 to 2021.
  • Total value of activity in Auckland increased 9 per cent in 2015; this increase in value is forecast to continue and peak in 2018 at $17 billion and to remain above $16 billion for the remainder of the forecast period.
  • The report forecasts 94,200 new dwelling consents in Auckland between January 2014 and December 2021. Dwelling consents are forecast to stay at high levels per year throughout the forecast period.
  • The number of multi-unit dwellings consented each year in Auckland is forecast to continue to increase its share of all dwellings consented, and is expected to overtake detached dwellings by 2021.
  • All non-residential construction in Auckland grew 4 per cent over 2014/15 and is expected to steadily increase by 49 per cent to an elevated level of $7.3 billion in 2018.

The South Island
The Christchurch rebuild slowed down, many contractors have moved out of the region as the residential needs have largely been met. The insurance pay-outs were settled; not always without complaint. Regardless that work has mostly played out its course now, 5 years on from that infamous second earthquake.

Commercially 2016 was a slow start for new work in Christchurch. Many contractors secured their first project well past May. The last quarter when several large projects were awarded. 2017 is looking a stable year for the region. Dunedin and Queenstown especially have seen some massive growth too, which will continue well into next year.

The National Construction Pipeline Report

  • The National Construction Pipeline Report 2016 provides national and regional forecasts of activity in three categories; residential building, non-residential building, and other construction, such as roads and infrastructure, over a six-year period until December 2021.
  • Is one of few forecasts available that compare its results to the previous forecasts. Forecasts are given for four regions Auckland, Canterbury, Waikato/Bay of Plenty and Wellington, with aggregated data provided for the rest of New Zealand.
  • The report is commissioned by the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment, and is jointly prepared by BRANZ and Pacifecon (NZ) Ltd. 
  • Visibility of New Zealand’s forward construction pipeline is intended to improve the productivity of the building and construction sector and could help moderate its boom and bust cycle.

    National picture

  • The National Construction Pipeline forecasts from the third report were a good prediction of what happened in 2015, but were slightly high for residential construction, high for nonresidential building, and close to actual for other construction. There is a slight delay in the previously forecast growth for the next six years, but it retains a similar shape, with a smoother longer peak.
  • National construction value has experienced sustained growth averaging 7 per cent per year since 2011, and is forecast to grow to a peak of $37 billion in 2017. This represents a rate of growth not seen in 40 years. These forecasts indicate a 2017 peak that represents 20 per cent ($6.2 billion) more value than at the end of 2015. This peak is 28 per cent higher than the previous peak in 2007, and 59 per cent higher than the low of 2010.
  • The annual value of all construction nationally is forecast to remain above 2015 levels for the duration of the forecast period to 2021. Residential building growth in Auckland accounts for more than half of the total New Zealand construction growth.
  • The annual value of residential building is expected to increase by 22% to a peak in 2017 ($21 billion) and all non-residential construction forecast to grow by 20% to a peak in 2018 of $16.8 billion.
  • Actual data from 2015 shows our forecasts in previous reports have been reasonably accurate. Non-residential building actual data was however significantly lower than the 2015 report had expected. The 2016 report now expects this growth in non-residential building to be more gradual with a later and longer peak ($8.8 billion) in 2018.
  • The national non-residential building forecast continues to grow, however has become a less distinct peak, spread out over a longer term. Contributing factors are deferred construction in some of the Canterbury anchor projects, a number of new university developments nationally, and the continued increase in Auckland non-residential building (such as schools and retail) as new suburbs are established and existing ones expanded. Notable trends
  • Auckland residential building value grew by $0.7 billion in 2015, accounting for 58 per cent of the total national growth of $1.3 billion. Auckland residential building is projected to increase by another $3.3 billion by 2017, which represents 53 per cent of the total national peak of $6.2 billion in 2017.
  • Waikato and the Bay of Plenty combine to form the third largest region, by value of work and are predicted to become the second largest by the next report.
  • Higher density housing increases its share of national residential construction over the forecast period; multi-unit dwelling consents represented 30 per cent of consented dwellings in 2015, and are projected to be 40 per cent by 2021. Auckland’s construction sector is growing at an amazing rate
  • Auckland dominates the national demand for building and construction, accounting for over a third of all building and construction, by value from 2015 to 2021.
  • Total value of activity in Auckland increased 9 per cent in 2015; this increase in value is forecast to continue and peak in 2018 at $17 billion and to remain above $16 billion for the remainder of the forecast period.
  • The report forecasts 94,200 new dwelling consents in Auckland between January 2014 and December 2021. Dwelling consents are forecast to stay at high levels per year throughout the forecast period.
  • The number of multi-unit dwellings consented each year in Auckland is forecast to continue to increase its share of all dwellings consented, and is expected to overtake detached dwellings by 2021.
  • All non-residential construction in Auckland grew 4 per cent over 2014/15 and is expected to steadily increase by 49 per cent to an elevated level of $7.3 billion in 2018.

 

Risks
Who knows what is around the corner. It feels we are all just one disaster away from, well, disaster. The international political landscape is a bit dubious. The housing market is described as the perfect storm for a massive crash. Elevated prices, building restrictions, banks over lending. There are hundreds of events that could derail the current momentum. Let’s hope 2017 is all smooth sailing.

Recruitment
At this stage, it’s all go!! Call me…. No seriously…. Call
staff
http://jdt.co.nz/career-portal/#/jobs

 

Conversation with Kieran Cripps, HazardCo

With new Health and Safety laws set to take effect from April 4 2016, HazardCo’s Kieran Cripps has some advice for ensuring health and safety in the construction workplace.

1.       Please introduce yourself.

Im Kieran Cripps I am a sales and service representative for HazardCo. We provide Health and Safety procedures and systems through Construction, Ag/Hort, Manufacturing and offices for you to implement within your business and address the requirement of the new legislation. I have been working for HazardCo for the past 7 years and seen a lot of changes to the health and safety act and great to see the culture around health and safety change within the different industries as well.

2.       How far do you feel new legislation will change the Construction industry?

I think the changes are going to be positive on the industry to not only create safer working environments but to also have shared responsibilities in a number of areas.As a PCBU you must communicate, coordinate, cooperate with other PCBU’s on your work site. For some businesses its going to be a big change if you don’t have an active Health and Safety system & procedures in place and some tweaks here and there for those who have system but maybe haven’t implemented it to its entirety. Its about changing the culture within your company to ensure the safety of workers and anyone coming into you place of work. Documentation and proof of procedures is an important part so you can show that you are taking all “Reasonably Practicable” steps to ensure information, training, communication, participation and monitor and reviewing of your place of work. These are some of the things you need to have in place.

3.       How soon will the changes come into effect?

The new legislation has been passed into law now but is going to be enforced as of the 4th April 2016.

4.       What is the best advice you would give to a civil or building contractor that hasn’t planned for the new law change?

The best advice i would give to a PCBU is if you know you have no Health and Safety procedures within your business you need to contact an company like ourselves (HazardCo) to come look at your systems and give you the advice and guidance if you don’t have the knowledge or understanding of what you need to be doing. If you do have an understanding or you have a system but it hasn’t been run correctly then look into it and start to implement your current system. A Worksafe slogan has been over the last few years “Doing nothing is not an option”. 

Q Who is responsible for workplace safety? EVERYONE 

1. The Business itself (PCBU). The business will have the primary duty under the new law to ensure the health and safety of workers and others affected by the work it carries out. That’s why the business may also need to consult with other businesses where it shares a worksite or are part of a contracting or supply chain, to make sure all workers are safe and healthy. (In other words, all businesses understand and are aware of any hazards that may be introduced to the workplace by all other businesses / people working in that workplace).  

 2. Officers includes directors and other people who make governance decisions that significantly affect a business. Officers have a duty of due diligence to ensure their business complies with its health and safety obligations. 

 3. Workers must take reasonable care to ensure the health and safety of themselves and others, and to comply with the business’s reasonable instructions and policies.

 4. Other people who come to the workplace, such as visitors or customers, also have some health and safety duties. It’s all about taking responsibility for what you can control. 

 Q What or who is a PCBU? 

A PCBU is a ‘person conducting a business or undertaking’. While a PCBU may be an individual person or an organisation, in most cases the PCBU will be an organisation (for example, a business entity such as a company). An individual, such as a sole trader, can also be a PCBU. 

 Q Who is not a PCBU? 

The following are not PCBUs: 

· volunteer associations,

· home occupiers who employ or engage someone to do work around the home,

· persons to the extent they are solely a worker or an officer in the business or undertaking. 

 Q What do businesses (PCBUs) need to do? 

A PCBU needs to proactively identify and manage its health and safety risks, make sure information about health and safety is shared with workers, and ensure that workers are actively engaged in all matters that could affect their health and safety. 

Use these tips to get your health and safety processes on the right track: 

· Identify health and safety hazards and risks, and take steps to prevent these from happening.

· Make sure health and safety in your business is led from the top, has involved workers, is understood by your workers, and is reviewed regularly. 

· Hold regular training on health and safety matters. 

· Engage workers in health and safety matters that affect them. 

· Support all officers to get up to date with health and safety issues and key risk factors. 

· Report and monitor health and safety goals. 

· Regularly review any incidents. 

· Carry out frequent health and safety audits. 

These processes must be documented and records kept.

Wynyard Quarter a winner in world waterfront awards

It’s great to see New Zealand projects continuing to win awards on the global stage.

Recently, Panuku Development Auckland won Excellence for the urban renewal of the Wynyard Quarter, at the Waterfront Awards in Washington, D.C.

Construction is underway on 500 apartments, townhouses and 48,000 sqm of commercial space.

Panuku Development Auckland chief executive John Dalzell has explained the huge honour the award is, as the entry was competing against some waterfront development projects in Europe, Asia and North America.

http://www.wynyard-quarter.co.nz/news/waterfront-plans-win-award